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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.62+6.59vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+4.77vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+2.70vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.38+1.26vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56-0.18vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.67vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.66+3.74vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.01+1.79vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21-3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.19-0.76vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-3.71vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.70-4.35vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.22-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.43vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.59Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.77Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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4.82Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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10.74Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.68Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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7.65Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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12.21Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.57University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| James Beatty | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 15.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Kurran Singh | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 14.8% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Brendan Read | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Bayard Lalor | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 37.7% |
| James Amaral | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 13.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.