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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.21+4.66vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+2.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.56vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.70+3.37vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.19+4.20vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.38-0.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.01+2.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62-0.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+1.78vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.85-3.00vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.86vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.20-6.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-5.50vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-1.98vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-4.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.66Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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4.55Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
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6.56Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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5.21Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.72Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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7.0Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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10.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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5.98Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.5University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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12.02Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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10.56University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 16.1% | 16.1% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| James Beatty | 11.6% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 15.1% |
| Henry Dumke | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 16.5% | 33.9% |
| James Amaral | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.2% | 15.5% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.