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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+4.73vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.85+4.75vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.21+2.63vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.62+3.66vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+1.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.42vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.19+1.20vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.70-1.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.66+0.85vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.38-5.66vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.22+0.30vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.01-3.08vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.74-3.41vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.75Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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4.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.2University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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10.85Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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5.34Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.3Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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9.92Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.59University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 10.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 14.6% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 6.2% |
| Quinn Andersen | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 15.9% |
| James Beatty | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 35.7% |
| Joseph Benoit | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 9.7% |
| James Amaral | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.