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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.09+6.39vs Predicted
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2University of Chicago0.55+3.02vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University-0.17+4.11vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.23-0.54vs Predicted
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5University of Illinois0.44+0.56vs Predicted
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6Hope College-0.57+2.84vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.67-4.35vs Predicted
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8Unknown School-2.34+6.37vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-1.07+1.00vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.91-0.47vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.73+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71+0.09vs Predicted
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13Hope College-0.65-4.39vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-1.70-1.61vs Predicted
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15Northern Michigan University-2.18-1.07vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.14-5.83vs Predicted
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17Michigan State University-1.68-4.68vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.39Ohio State University0.093.8%1st Place
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5.02University of Chicago0.5510.5%1st Place
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7.11Michigan Technological University-0.174.6%1st Place
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3.46University of Notre Dame1.2319.8%1st Place
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5.56University of Illinois0.447.9%1st Place
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8.84Hope College-0.572.9%1st Place
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2.65University of Wisconsin1.6733.7%1st Place
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14.37Unknown School-2.340.4%1st Place
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10.0Purdue University-1.072.5%1st Place
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9.53Grand Valley State University-0.912.3%1st Place
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12.42Western Michigan University-1.731.0%1st Place
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12.09University of Michigan-1.711.2%1st Place
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8.61Hope College-0.653.5%1st Place
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12.39Ohio State University-1.700.8%1st Place
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13.93Northern Michigan University-2.180.6%1st Place
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10.17University of Michigan-1.142.4%1st Place
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12.32Michigan State University-1.681.5%1st Place
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15.14Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Leavitt | 10.5% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Payden Pittman | 19.8% | 20.3% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.9% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| William Styslinger | 33.7% | 23.3% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 21.9% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 5.5% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% |
| Leo Barch | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 16.7% |
| River Servia | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| George Prokop | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 6.6% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 18.9% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.