Race 11B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Quinn Andersen 7.0% 6.5% 8.2% 8.3% 9.4% 7.8% 8.9% 9.5% 10.6% 8.5% 7.6% 5.0% 2.7%
Nicholas Karnovsky 11.5% 11.1% 10.5% 10.9% 11.5% 8.9% 8.9% 9.3% 5.9% 5.9% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Hugh MacGillivray 10.0% 12.7% 11.3% 10.0% 10.2% 10.3% 10.8% 7.4% 7.0% 4.9% 3.0% 2.0% 0.4%
Jeffrey Adam 2.9% 2.5% 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 6.2% 7.4% 6.5% 11.1% 13.4% 16.8% 14.7%
Brendan Read 8.3% 7.6% 8.9% 8.2% 8.4% 10.2% 6.5% 10.8% 9.2% 8.4% 7.3% 4.6% 1.6%
Matthew Kaplan 16.9% 14.9% 13.7% 13.3% 10.5% 6.7% 8.2% 5.9% 4.4% 3.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.4%
A. Tucker Atterbury 7.3% 7.3% 6.7% 7.7% 8.2% 9.0% 8.4% 8.4% 9.4% 9.6% 9.3% 6.4% 2.3%
Henry Dumke 7.4% 8.6% 9.3% 8.5% 8.2% 10.0% 9.6% 9.7% 9.1% 7.6% 6.7% 4.0% 1.3%
Kurran Singh 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% 3.0% 3.4% 4.3% 4.5% 4.6% 7.5% 9.8% 13.3% 19.6% 21.4%
Bayard Lalor 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 2.6% 1.8% 3.4% 3.1% 2.9% 5.9% 6.3% 10.5% 18.6% 39.2%
James Beatty 15.2% 15.1% 12.5% 11.3% 10.5% 9.5% 8.2% 6.4% 4.4% 3.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.5%
Reed Lorimer 5.7% 4.7% 6.4% 7.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.9% 9.9% 10.6% 10.2% 10.5% 6.8% 5.6%
Benjamin Craig 3.4% 4.4% 3.6% 4.5% 5.9% 7.0% 8.8% 7.8% 9.5% 11.0% 11.6% 13.1% 9.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.