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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+3.45vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.43+5.09vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+1.74vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.71+2.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+0.31vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.69+0.50vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.29+3.58vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.42-0.74vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.33+1.54vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70-3.46vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.24-6.96vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.93-1.20vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-3.13vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire0.27-2.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Boston College3.350.2%1st Place
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7.09Bowdoin College2.430.1%1st Place
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4.74Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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6.31Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.5Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.58Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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10.54Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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6.54University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.0%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.87Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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12.96University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 16.6% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Conner Harding | 14.7% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Florio | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 11.8% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 8.6% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Samuel Campbell | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 6.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Caso | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 11.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Caden Buckley | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 21.2% | 20.3% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 10.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 44.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.