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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+2.54vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+3.97vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+5.25vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.57+5.62vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.67-2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Chicago0.55-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.14+3.69vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-1.03vs Predicted
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9Grand Valley State University-0.76+0.61vs Predicted
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10Purdue University-0.57-1.02vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.73+1.73vs Predicted
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12Michigan Technological University-0.17-4.50vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.70-0.24vs Predicted
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14Unknown School-2.34+0.73vs Predicted
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15Hope College-0.65-5.95vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-2.18-1.73vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan-1.71-4.12vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Notre Dame1.2321.6%1st Place
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5.97University of Illinois0.448.2%1st Place
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8.25Ohio State University0.093.8%1st Place
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9.62Hope College-0.572.5%1st Place
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2.81University of Wisconsin1.6729.8%1st Place
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5.29University of Chicago0.5510.2%1st Place
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10.69University of Michigan-1.142.1%1st Place
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6.97Michigan State University0.026.0%1st Place
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9.61Grand Valley State University-0.762.8%1st Place
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8.98Purdue University-0.572.4%1st Place
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12.73Western Michigan University-1.730.7%1st Place
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7.5Michigan Technological University-0.173.8%1st Place
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12.76Ohio State University-1.701.1%1st Place
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14.73Unknown School-2.340.7%1st Place
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9.05Hope College-0.652.9%1st Place
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14.27Northern Michigan University-2.180.5%1st Place
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12.88University of Michigan-1.710.8%1st Place
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15.35Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 21.6% | 18.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Emily Williams | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| William Styslinger | 29.8% | 22.9% | 17.9% | 12.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| River Servia | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Ella Beck | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Gavin Holmes | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 18.6% | 23.8% |
| Edmund Redman | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Leo Barch | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 18.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 6.7% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 34.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.