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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+4.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+2.50vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.23+1.87vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.24+0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.70+1.62vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43+1.46vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.42+0.39vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.69-1.39vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22+2.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.79vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University0.93+0.71vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.33-1.09vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27+0.23vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.29-3.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-8.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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4.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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4.87Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.94Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.62University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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7.46Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.61Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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11.04Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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8.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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11.71Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
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10.91Boston University1.330.0%1st Place
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13.23University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.47Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 12.4% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 14.7% | 17.2% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 14.6% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 13.3% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| George Luber | 1.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 10.5% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 21.3% | 18.9% |
| Samuel Campbell | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 10.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 17.8% | 48.3% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 17.6% | 8.8% |
| Walter Florio | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.