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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.23+3.83vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.24+2.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+3.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+1.27vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.90+0.93vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.71+0.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.29+3.17vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.29-0.40vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.42-1.71vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.69-3.48vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.22-0.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-6.37vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire0.27-0.64vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University0.93-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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4.69Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.47University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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5.27University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College2.900.1%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College2.710.1%1st Place
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10.17Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.290.1%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University2.420.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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10.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.220.0%1st Place
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5.63Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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12.36University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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11.12Salve Regina University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conner Harding | 12.6% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 14.9% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 10.2% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Lynn | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Donal Ryan | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 17.8% | 17.9% | 11.8% |
| Jack Fullerton | 6.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| George Luber | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 21.4% | 14.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 10.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 18.3% | 50.6% |
| Caden Buckley | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 16.8% | 25.5% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.