← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University3.24+8.44vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.61+6.05vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.43vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.73+3.27vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.76+6.04vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.56vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.60+0.84vs Predicted
-
8University of Vermont2.90+2.56vs Predicted
-
9Yale University4.24-3.57vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-1.82vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.48-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College3.21-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University3.50-4.85vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University3.74-6.84vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.39vs Predicted
-
16Washington College1.52-0.87vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University2.43-4.47vs Predicted
-
18North Carolina State University0.89-1.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.44Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
8.05Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.27Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.04University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
7.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.84Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.56University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
5.43Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
8.5Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.83Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.15Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.16Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
10.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
-
15.13Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.53Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
-
16.28North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 3.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 1.5% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 27.7% | 27.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 6.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 7.3% | 19.0% | 56.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.