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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Illinois0.44+4.98vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.23+1.65vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.67-0.17vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.55+1.39vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.17+2.46vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.76+3.78vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-1.14+3.71vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-1.06vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.09-0.92vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.57-0.51vs Predicted
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11Hope College-0.65-1.84vs Predicted
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12Western Michigan University-1.73+0.78vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.70-0.12vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-0.57-4.88vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.71-2.33vs Predicted
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16Northern Michigan University-2.18-1.91vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.34-2.50vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98University of Illinois0.448.5%1st Place
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3.65University of Notre Dame1.2319.1%1st Place
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2.83University of Wisconsin1.6731.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Chicago0.559.5%1st Place
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7.46Michigan Technological University-0.174.5%1st Place
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9.78Grand Valley State University-0.762.4%1st Place
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10.71University of Michigan-1.142.0%1st Place
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6.94Michigan State University0.026.2%1st Place
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8.08Ohio State University0.094.2%1st Place
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9.49Hope College-0.572.5%1st Place
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9.16Hope College-0.652.6%1st Place
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12.78Western Michigan University-1.731.2%1st Place
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12.88Ohio State University-1.701.2%1st Place
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9.12Purdue University-0.572.7%1st Place
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12.67University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
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14.09Northern Michigan University-2.180.5%1st Place
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14.5Unknown School-2.340.6%1st Place
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15.47Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 19.1% | 18.9% | 17.2% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 31.1% | 21.9% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 9.5% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| River Servia | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Ella Beck | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Edmund Redman | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 7.6% |
| Gavin Holmes | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.0% | 6.5% |
| Leo Barch | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 19.7% | 21.9% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 17.3% | 37.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.