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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.75+1.07vs Predicted
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2Middlebury College1.84+1.43vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.60+0.79vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University1.25+0.45vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.66+0.48vs Predicted
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6Amherst College0.96-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Connecticut0.66-2.52vs Predicted
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9McGill University0.37-3.00vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.38-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
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3.43Middlebury College1.840.2%1st Place
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3.79McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.45Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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4.93Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Connecticut0.660.0%1st Place
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6.0McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.85Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Altreuter | 44.5% | 26.6% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Dragone | 16.4% | 19.5% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 13.3% | 15.9% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 7.9% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 17.5% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 7.0% | 7.3% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 15.6% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 18.7% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 21.2% | 31.4% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 2.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 20.4% | 26.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.