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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.74+6.34vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+6.38vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.24vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.50vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+2.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.31vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+2.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.21+0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-0.64vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-0.36vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.72vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.21vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.43-2.74vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.89+0.36vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.63-2.13vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.25-9.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.38Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.24Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.09Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.31St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.36University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.14Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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9.36Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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12.26Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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16.36North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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14.87Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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8.87Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will La Dow | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Bradley Adam | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 1.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.3% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Balk | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 5.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.1% | 17.2% | 58.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 13.7% | 26.8% | 25.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.