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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.30vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.49vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+5.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+2.13vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+1.65vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.68vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.90+1.47vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College3.21-0.51vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.90vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-0.64vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.63+1.66vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-6.63vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.25-5.99vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-5.47vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.89-0.61vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.43-5.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.3Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.49St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.97Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.13Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.04Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.49Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.66Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.01Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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16.39North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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12.09Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.5% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 8.8% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 1.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 25.6% | 24.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 17.3% | 58.3% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.