Race 3A

mcgill-cup-open-canadian-nationals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

22.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jared Dunn 8.8% 12.5% 14.5% 16.2% 15.5% 15.9% 9.9% 6.7% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 6.4% 8.8% 10.8% 11.8% 18.6% 15.9% 16.3% 11.4% 0.0%
James Fales 5.1% 6.4% 9.8% 10.0% 12.6% 16.8% 19.1% 20.2% 0.0%
Leif Macdonald 12.7% 14.7% 17.4% 18.0% 16.3% 11.3% 7.1% 2.5% 0.0%
James Altreuter 44.4% 25.2% 15.3% 8.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 14.8% 22.2% 19.3% 17.9% 11.8% 7.5% 4.7% 1.8% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 4.4% 4.8% 6.7% 8.3% 9.5% 14.7% 21.3% 30.3% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 3.4% 5.4% 6.2% 9.0% 11.2% 16.5% 21.2% 27.1% 0.0%
James Fales 5.1% 6.4% 9.8% 10.0% 12.6% 16.8% 19.1% 20.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.