← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame1.23+2.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.67+0.71vs Predicted
-
3University of Illinois0.44+2.81vs Predicted
-
4University of Chicago0.55+1.33vs Predicted
-
5Hope College-0.57+4.18vs Predicted
-
6Michigan State University0.02+0.84vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.57vs Predicted
-
8Grand Valley State University-0.91+2.18vs Predicted
-
9Ohio State University0.09-1.06vs Predicted
-
10University of Michigan-1.14+0.53vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-0.65-2.02vs Predicted
-
12Northern Michigan University-2.18+2.07vs Predicted
-
13Unknown School-2.34+1.67vs Predicted
-
14Purdue University-1.07-3.51vs Predicted
-
15Western Michigan University-1.73-2.51vs Predicted
-
16Ohio State University-1.70-3.47vs Predicted
-
17Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-1.55vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan-1.71-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65University of Notre Dame1.2319.2%1st Place
-
2.71University of Wisconsin1.6732.4%1st Place
-
5.81University of Illinois0.447.8%1st Place
-
5.33University of Chicago0.5510.1%1st Place
-
9.18Hope College-0.573.1%1st Place
-
6.84Michigan State University0.025.8%1st Place
-
7.57Michigan Technological University-0.174.9%1st Place
-
10.18Grand Valley State University-0.911.7%1st Place
-
7.94Ohio State University0.093.8%1st Place
-
10.53University of Michigan-1.142.1%1st Place
-
8.98Hope College-0.653.5%1st Place
-
14.07Northern Michigan University-2.180.7%1st Place
-
14.67Unknown School-2.340.4%1st Place
-
10.49Purdue University-1.071.7%1st Place
-
12.49Western Michigan University-1.730.8%1st Place
-
12.53Ohio State University-1.700.8%1st Place
-
15.45Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.2%1st Place
-
12.56University of Michigan-1.711.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 19.2% | 19.6% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 32.4% | 23.2% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ella Beck | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Emily Williams | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| River Servia | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Leo Barch | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 19.1% | 23.8% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 5.9% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 19.9% | 35.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.