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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+6.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+6.71vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+5.30vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.72+2.07vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+0.17vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+3.05vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.42-0.80vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.82+0.55vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.38-2.31vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-1.22vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40-0.54vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.42-2.07vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-5.04vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-7.65vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-4.70vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.39+0.29vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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8.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
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8.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.2Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.55Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.78Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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10.93Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.96Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.35Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.3Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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17.29North Carolina State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.51Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.0% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 15.3% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 17.1% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Maeve White | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 1.5% |
| Elijah Jones | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 14.6% | 75.3% |
| William Sunkler | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 45.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.