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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.09+7.70vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+7.85vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.35vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.92+5.04vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.41vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+3.10vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.38-0.64vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.97vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.42-2.55vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.27vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.42-0.58vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-7.89vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-6.84vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-5.52vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-4.66vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.39+0.26vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.85Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.15Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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7.45Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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11.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.42Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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5.11Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.48Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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11.34Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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17.26North Carolina State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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15.53Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dakota Northrup | 5.5% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Maeve White | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.3% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 15.6% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.5% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 1.4% |
| Elijah Jones | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 14.6% | 74.8% |
| William Sunkler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 45.5% | 19.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.