← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont2.70+9.30vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.82+7.87vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.38+4.64vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.01+1.14vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.72+1.17vs Predicted
-
6Connecticut College2.81+3.68vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.38+0.47vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.60vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University2.92+0.24vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.38+1.58vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+0.35vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.09-3.11vs Predicted
-
13Boston University3.42-5.85vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-6.20vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.92vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.42-4.80vs Predicted
-
17North Carolina State University-0.39+0.33vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.26-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.3University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.87Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.64Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
5.14Boston College4.010.2%1st Place
-
6.17Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
-
9.68Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
-
7.47Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
-
7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.24Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
11.58Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
11.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
-
8.89University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.15Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
-
7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
11.2Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
-
17.33North Carolina State University-0.390.0%1st Place
-
14.68Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 16.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.4% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 7.8% | 2.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Elijah Jones | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 9.0% | 81.0% |
| Paul Hart | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 39.7% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.