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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+8.70vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.62+4.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.72+3.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+1.07vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+2.31vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+1.33vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.40+4.14vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+3.16vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-0.97vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-1.29vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.42+0.25vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.26+2.91vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-3.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.84-4.73vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-5.08vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-7.94vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University-0.39+0.30vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.92-8.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.7Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.620.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.07Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.33Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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11.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.400.0%1st Place
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11.16Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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8.71University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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11.25Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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14.91Washington College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.27Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.92Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
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17.3North Carolina State University-0.390.0%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.7% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Stewart | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 14.3% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Pierre Thibodeau | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 1.6% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 9.1% | 1.6% |
| Paul Hart | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 40.5% | 13.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 0.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Walter Florio | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Elijah Jones | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 10.3% | 79.7% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.