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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College1.84+2.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.75-0.86vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.60-0.19vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.960.00vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University1.25-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.57vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.38-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-3.57vs Predicted
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10McGill University0.37-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.33Middlebury College1.840.2%1st Place
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2.14Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
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3.81McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.0Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
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4.45Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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5.43University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.97Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.87McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bianca Dragone | 17.1% | 21.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 41.6% | 27.7% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 13.2% | 15.4% | 19.1% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 8.9% | 10.5% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 21.3% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 20.4% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 21.3% | 26.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.