← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Bianca Dragone 17.1% 21.7% 19.2% 16.1% 11.9% 8.4% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0%
James Altreuter 41.6% 27.7% 14.5% 10.1% 4.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Leif Macdonald 13.2% 15.4% 19.1% 15.6% 15.2% 12.0% 6.7% 2.8% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 6.7% 7.8% 10.8% 14.2% 15.8% 15.8% 16.8% 12.1% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 8.9% 10.5% 15.4% 15.2% 16.6% 15.0% 12.2% 6.2% 0.0%
James Fales 5.5% 5.8% 8.6% 12.3% 13.4% 16.9% 17.1% 20.4% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 3.6% 5.5% 6.7% 7.7% 10.4% 14.0% 21.3% 30.8% 0.0%
James Fales 5.5% 5.8% 8.6% 12.3% 13.4% 16.9% 17.1% 20.4% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 3.4% 5.6% 5.7% 8.8% 12.6% 16.5% 21.3% 26.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.