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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Chicago0.55+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.23+1.58vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44+3.01vs Predicted
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4Hope College-0.57+5.23vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.67-2.22vs Predicted
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6Grand Valley State University-0.91+4.02vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.43vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-1.00vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.09-1.07vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.65-0.94vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan-1.14-0.38vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71+0.65vs Predicted
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13Purdue University-1.07-2.34vs Predicted
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14Ohio State University-1.70-1.47vs Predicted
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15Saginaw Valley State University-2.68+0.24vs Predicted
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16Unknown School-2.34-1.49vs Predicted
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17Northern Michigan University-2.18-2.85vs Predicted
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18Western Michigan University-1.73-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35University of Chicago0.558.6%1st Place
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3.58University of Notre Dame1.2320.2%1st Place
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6.01University of Illinois0.447.3%1st Place
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9.23Hope College-0.573.1%1st Place
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2.78University of Wisconsin1.6730.9%1st Place
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10.02Grand Valley State University-0.911.9%1st Place
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7.43Michigan Technological University-0.175.2%1st Place
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7.0Michigan State University0.026.0%1st Place
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7.93Ohio State University0.094.2%1st Place
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9.06Hope College-0.654.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Michigan-1.141.7%1st Place
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12.65University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
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10.66Purdue University-1.072.1%1st Place
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12.53Ohio State University-1.701.1%1st Place
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15.24Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.2%1st Place
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14.51Unknown School-2.340.4%1st Place
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14.15Northern Michigan University-2.180.8%1st Place
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12.25Western Michigan University-1.731.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Leavitt | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 20.2% | 18.3% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| William Styslinger | 30.9% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Rossell | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Beck | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| River Servia | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 7.1% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 6.0% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 35.2% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 19.5% | 22.4% |
| Leo Barch | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 16.4% | 19.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 5.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.