Race 13B

sherman-hoyt

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Joseph Kiss 10.5% 9.6% 10.9% 8.9% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 6.3% 6.2% 5.1% 5.2% 3.8% 3.2% 2.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Maeve White 3.3% 3.7% 5.8% 4.9% 5.6% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 6.3% 7.1% 8.7% 7.0% 7.2% 7.2% 6.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.0%
Alexander Stewart 8.4% 9.2% 8.7% 9.8% 8.0% 8.8% 7.5% 7.6% 5.7% 7.3% 5.3% 5.3% 3.7% 3.1% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Dreugh Phillips 4.4% 4.8% 6.4% 6.0% 5.5% 3.7% 5.8% 5.8% 5.3% 6.0% 6.7% 8.0% 7.0% 8.5% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3% 0.2%
Erika Reineke 17.6% 13.8% 10.0% 9.7% 9.8% 7.7% 7.0% 6.1% 4.6% 3.8% 3.7% 2.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Floyd 7.8% 6.8% 8.2% 7.8% 8.5% 7.4% 8.3% 6.9% 8.0% 5.1% 5.3% 4.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.5% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick 7.2% 8.9% 8.4% 7.5% 7.1% 7.1% 6.0% 7.5% 7.3% 8.1% 5.7% 4.8% 5.6% 3.1% 3.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Patrick Tara 6.7% 7.2% 6.6% 7.5% 7.6% 6.6% 5.2% 7.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.9% 6.8% 5.8% 4.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.1%
Lydia Grasberger 4.0% 5.1% 4.3% 5.7% 5.2% 6.6% 4.6% 5.4% 7.3% 6.3% 6.6% 7.1% 8.1% 8.4% 7.4% 5.3% 2.5% 0.1%
Mack Fox 6.6% 6.4% 5.8% 6.2% 6.4% 5.2% 6.7% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.0% 7.9% 5.3% 5.1% 4.5% 4.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Carter Pemberton 4.4% 5.2% 4.1% 5.3% 2.9% 5.5% 6.5% 5.6% 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 6.3% 9.1% 6.6% 6.7% 7.5% 3.5% 0.6%
Dakota Northrup 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 5.9% 7.1% 6.6% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 5.4% 6.4% 7.8% 6.6% 5.2% 7.1% 5.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Pierre Thibodeau 3.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 4.0% 3.7% 4.9% 5.4% 4.1% 5.8% 5.4% 7.0% 6.3% 10.0% 11.1% 12.5% 5.4% 1.2%
Alex Woloshyn 3.1% 3.0% 2.9% 3.8% 4.8% 4.5% 5.2% 4.8% 4.7% 4.8% 5.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.8% 10.9% 12.4% 6.3% 1.0%
Jackson Wagner 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% 2.8% 4.6% 3.5% 5.5% 4.5% 4.9% 6.0% 5.3% 6.8% 7.6% 9.6% 9.7% 11.9% 7.3% 0.8%
Jan Kite-Powell 3.5% 3.5% 4.6% 4.3% 4.5% 6.4% 4.8% 5.7% 6.0% 6.9% 7.2% 5.6% 7.1% 7.3% 9.7% 8.2% 4.2% 0.5%
William Sunkler 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.6% 1.1% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.7% 3.2% 3.1% 5.0% 8.3% 47.0% 21.2%
Elijah Jones 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 1.7% 4.1% 13.5% 73.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.