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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+7.29vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+5.59vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+5.19vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.79vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.02vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+1.48vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.25vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+0.31vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-1.34vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90+1.03vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21+2.39vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60+0.25vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-3.76vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-5.91vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.81vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-6.44vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.09-6.92vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.36-2.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.59Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.19Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.02Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.48Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.31Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.03University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.39Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.25Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.24Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.56Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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10.08University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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15.58McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 12.8% | 18.4% | 16.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.