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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+5.93vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+5.60vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+5.86vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+5.65vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College3.21+3.51vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56+1.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-0.60vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-0.71vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-1.88vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-1.49vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-3.76vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.84vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-0.93vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.08vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-8.58vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.57vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.36-2.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.28Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.6Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.86University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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10.65University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.51Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.03Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.4Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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13.07Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.42Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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15.59McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| William Crary | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 3.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 17.1% | 14.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 6.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 13.9% | 17.9% | 15.9% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.