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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+6.57vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+7.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+5.11vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.00vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+8.16vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.18vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.90+2.62vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.28vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.49-2.46vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.10vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-5.61vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.61-6.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.10vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.36-0.29vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-8.42vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.09-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.57Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.16Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.08Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.54Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.9Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.39Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.66Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.9Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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15.71McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.58Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.72University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 18.5% | 14.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Rolander | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 10.4% | 7.6% |
| Mete Sayin | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 9.5% | 15.3% | 49.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.