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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.14vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+4.33vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+5.17vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+5.44vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+7.15vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.65vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.24vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.12vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-1.74vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.29vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-4.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.19-1.14vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.34vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.71-8.68vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-8.68vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.14Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.33Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.17Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.15Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.65Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.12Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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13.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.07Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.86University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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15.42McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| William Crary | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 15.3% |
| John Rolander | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 12.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 5.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 17.4% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.