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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.13vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+6.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+4.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.79vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.24+3.22vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.48+1.18vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21+5.04vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-1.92vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-2.05vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.83vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.92vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.90-3.77vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.19-1.83vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.89vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-9.55vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.36-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.19Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.79Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.22Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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13.04Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.08Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.47Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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13.17University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
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13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.45Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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15.42McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 13.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| John Rolander | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| William Crary | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 14.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 16.9% | 44.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.