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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.42vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.40vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+3.25vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+4.25vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.39vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.71vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.18vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-1.58vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90+1.00vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-2.77vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-1.68vs Predicted
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13McGill University1.36+2.52vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-5.91vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.08vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College3.21-6.45vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-3.54vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.2Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.25Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.23Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.32University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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15.52McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.55Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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13.46Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Ian Barrows | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.4% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 15.6% | 47.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 6.8% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 17.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.