Race 5A

mcgill-cup-open-canadian-nationals

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Leif Macdonald 13.5% 16.7% 18.1% 17.7% 13.8% 9.9% 7.5% 2.8% 0.0%
Jared Dunn 8.5% 11.4% 15.2% 14.4% 16.7% 15.0% 11.6% 7.2% 0.0%
James Altreuter 42.3% 27.3% 16.9% 7.5% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 16.3% 21.1% 17.3% 18.4% 13.0% 7.8% 4.2% 1.9% 0.0%
James Fales 4.5% 6.3% 8.1% 11.4% 12.4% 18.3% 21.2% 17.8% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 4.0% 4.2% 6.4% 8.2% 12.9% 14.2% 18.7% 31.4% 0.0%
James Fales 4.5% 6.3% 8.1% 11.4% 12.4% 18.3% 21.2% 17.8% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 7.0% 8.0% 11.0% 13.5% 15.5% 16.0% 16.5% 12.5% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 3.9% 5.0% 7.0% 8.9% 11.6% 17.4% 20.1% 26.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.