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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.23+2.43vs Predicted
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2University of Illinois0.44+3.73vs Predicted
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3Ohio State University0.09+4.64vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago0.55+1.13vs Predicted
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5Michigan Technological University-0.17+2.13vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.67-3.33vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.65+1.79vs Predicted
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8Hope College-0.57+1.12vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.57-0.48vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan-1.71+2.53vs Predicted
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11Western Michigan University-1.73+1.13vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.91-2.31vs Predicted
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13Michigan State University-1.68-0.60vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-2.18+0.01vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-2.34-0.75vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan-1.14-5.73vs Predicted
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17Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-1.88vs Predicted
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18Ohio State University-1.70-5.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.43University of Notre Dame1.2320.8%1st Place
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5.73University of Illinois0.447.6%1st Place
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7.64Ohio State University0.094.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Chicago0.5510.1%1st Place
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7.13Michigan Technological University-0.175.3%1st Place
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2.67University of Wisconsin1.6731.6%1st Place
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8.79Hope College-0.653.6%1st Place
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9.12Hope College-0.573.5%1st Place
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8.52Purdue University-0.573.2%1st Place
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12.53University of Michigan-1.710.8%1st Place
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12.13Western Michigan University-1.731.1%1st Place
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9.69Grand Valley State University-0.912.2%1st Place
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12.4Michigan State University-1.680.9%1st Place
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14.01Northern Michigan University-2.180.5%1st Place
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14.25Unknown School-2.340.5%1st Place
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10.27University of Michigan-1.142.1%1st Place
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15.12Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.5%1st Place
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12.45Ohio State University-1.701.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 20.8% | 20.0% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| William Styslinger | 31.6% | 24.6% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Holmes | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 5.7% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| George Prokop | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 6.5% |
| Leo Barch | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 19.8% |
| River Servia | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 16.4% | 36.9% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.