← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+6.47vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+4.27vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.24+6.63vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.58vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.73+2.33vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College3.53+2.20vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.71+0.45vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.60-0.16vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University2.21+4.37vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-1.38vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College3.21-1.37vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.46vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.49-4.78vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University2.60-2.39vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.90-4.32vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island3.09-5.98vs Predicted
-
17McGill University1.36-1.25vs Predicted
-
18Bowdoin College3.56-10.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
6.27Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.63Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
7.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.33Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.2Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
7.45Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.84Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
13.37Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.62Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.63Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
13.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
8.22Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.61Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.02University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
-
15.75McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.88Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 18.9% | 13.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 20.4% | 15.6% |
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.0% |
| William Crary | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Mete Sayin | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 51.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.