← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.56+6.78vs Predicted
-
2Yale University4.08+3.79vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.24+6.06vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University3.49+3.81vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.48+2.82vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.96vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.21vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.60-0.64vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.73-2.17vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.34+2.59vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.60+0.56vs Predicted
-
12Roger Williams University3.71-4.72vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University2.21-0.33vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont2.90-4.05vs Predicted
-
15McGill University1.36+0.34vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.53-8.23vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.06vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.19-5.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.78Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
5.79Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.06Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.81Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.82Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
6.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.36Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.83Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
12.59Connecticut College2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.56Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.28Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
12.67Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
9.95University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
-
15.34McGill University1.360.0%1st Place
-
7.77Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
12.94Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
12.7University of Rhode Island2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Nefsky | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 9.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.6% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.0% |
| Mete Sayin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 41.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 15.8% | 12.8% |
| Patrick Penwell | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.