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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+4.82vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+3.01vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+4.84vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+3.83vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.50vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.38+1.99vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+1.67vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+2.13vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+1.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16+2.86vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.18-2.10vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-3.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-2.71vs Predicted
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14McGill University1.43+0.69vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.42-7.32vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-6.04vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.00vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-3.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.82Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.83Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.5Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.99Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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8.67Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.13Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.86Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.9Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.29University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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14.69McGill University1.430.0%1st Place
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7.68Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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9.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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13.0Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.89Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Carter Pemberton | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 10.7% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Morgan Sadler | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 31.7% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Alexander Bowen | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 10.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 17.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.