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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.98vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.47+5.68vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.70+7.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.38+3.73vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.33vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.82vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+1.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.63vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.38-1.26vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81+0.31vs Predicted
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11Boston College4.01-5.39vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39+3.15vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.56-2.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-4.89vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.16-2.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.18-7.34vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11-4.16vs Predicted
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18McGill University1.43-3.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.73Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.33Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.54Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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10.31Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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5.61Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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15.15Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.93University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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12.5Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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8.66Bowdoin College3.180.0%1st Place
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12.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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14.64McGill University1.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 14.5% | 13.9% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.7% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 17.0% | 38.2% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 9.4% |
| Jack McGuire | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Bowen | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 9.7% |
| Morgan Sadler | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 12.8% | 19.6% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.