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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.20+7.70vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.18+5.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+2.39vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.56+5.05vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-1.51vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+2.38vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.21vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-0.37vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.39+0.83vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.38-3.89vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.23vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.54vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.38-8.12vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.43-2.05vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.39-3.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.48Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.74Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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4.75Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.39Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Rhode Island2.560.0%1st Place
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5.49Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.83Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.11Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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13.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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10.4Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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14.95McGill University1.430.0%1st Place
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14.76Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.8% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Trevor Long | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| John Wehner | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 6.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.6% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Walter Florio | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Sadler | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 34.1% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 30.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.