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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+4.12vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.70+8.97vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+3.64vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.42+3.60vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.38+2.90vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01-0.38vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+1.77vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-0.35vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.18-0.97vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-2.85vs Predicted
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12McGill University1.43+3.14vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.39+1.82vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.88vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.38-7.14vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University2.39-4.08vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.33vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.71-7.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.12Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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10.97University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.64Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.0%1st Place
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8.65Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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9.03Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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15.14McGill University1.430.0%1st Place
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14.82Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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11.92Northeastern University2.390.0%1st Place
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13.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 12.2% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Jack McGuire | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Sadler | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 19.0% | 35.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 19.7% | 31.6% |
| Brendan Read | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 6.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| John Wehner | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 15.4% |
| Walter Florio | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.