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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland4.16+4.87vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+5.28vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.65+4.74vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.33+4.78vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.54+3.03vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+3.08vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.81+4.06vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.45+0.36vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.08+4.92vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.10+0.18vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-1.44vs Predicted
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12University of Hawaii2.13+1.96vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.38-4.43vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-3.72vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.68-3.42vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.97-5.50vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-8.71vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.51-10.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.87St. Mary's College of Maryland4.160.1%1st Place
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7.28College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.330.1%1st Place
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8.03Old Dominion University3.540.1%1st Place
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9.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.06Georgetown University2.810.0%1st Place
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8.36Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Michigan2.080.0%1st Place
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10.18Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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9.56Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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13.96University of Hawaii2.130.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.28Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.58U. S. Naval Academy2.680.0%1st Place
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10.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.970.0%1st Place
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8.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.96Boston College3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Morgan Watters | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Shannon Heausler | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Whipple | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Katrina Williams | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Krysta Rohde | 6.1% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Lauren Burke | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Amanda Baker | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 26.9% |
| Genoa Warner | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Jaclyn McLoughlin | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 29.6% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 4.7% |
| Sara Burke | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% |
| Sarah Yuskaitis | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Hudson | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.