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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brandeis University1.25+3.40vs Predicted
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3McGill University1.60+0.85vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.75-1.88vs Predicted
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5Amherst College0.96-0.04vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College1.84-2.59vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.55vs Predicted
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8McGill University0.37-2.01vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut0.66-3.55vs Predicted
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10Queen's University0.38-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.4Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
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3.85McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
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2.12Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
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4.96Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.41Middlebury College1.840.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.99McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.83Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Dunn | 8.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 16.5% | 16.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 42.9% | 26.1% | 16.7% | 8.4% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 6.6% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Dragone | 14.8% | 24.1% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 19.7% | 32.4% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 17.8% | 17.6% | 20.0% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 21.6% | 25.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.