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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jared Dunn 8.7% 11.8% 14.3% 16.1% 18.8% 11.8% 12.6% 5.9% 0.0%
Leif Macdonald 13.2% 14.6% 18.2% 16.5% 16.2% 10.7% 8.2% 2.4% 0.0%
James Altreuter 42.9% 26.1% 16.7% 8.4% 3.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Stephanie Dowling 6.6% 8.6% 12.3% 13.2% 13.5% 17.8% 16.0% 12.0% 0.0%
Bianca Dragone 14.8% 24.1% 17.2% 15.0% 12.7% 11.3% 3.8% 1.1% 0.0%
James Fales 5.5% 5.6% 8.0% 12.9% 12.6% 17.8% 17.6% 20.0% 0.0%
Emily Tsang 4.3% 4.4% 6.6% 8.5% 9.9% 14.2% 19.7% 32.4% 0.0%
James Fales 5.5% 5.6% 8.0% 12.9% 12.6% 17.8% 17.6% 20.0% 0.0%
Joy MacDonald 4.0% 4.8% 6.7% 9.4% 12.5% 15.1% 21.6% 25.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.