← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame1.23+2.41vs Predicted
-
2University of Wisconsin1.67+0.73vs Predicted
-
3Ohio State University0.09+4.57vs Predicted
-
4University of Illinois0.44+1.61vs Predicted
-
5University of Chicago0.55+0.02vs Predicted
-
6Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.21vs Predicted
-
7Hope College-0.65+1.72vs Predicted
-
8Ohio State University-1.70+4.46vs Predicted
-
9Hope College-0.57-0.03vs Predicted
-
10Western Michigan University-1.73+2.33vs Predicted
-
11University of Michigan-1.71+1.45vs Predicted
-
12Purdue University-0.57-3.24vs Predicted
-
13Grand Valley State University-0.91-3.41vs Predicted
-
14Northern Michigan University-2.18-0.27vs Predicted
-
15Michigan State University-1.68-2.64vs Predicted
-
16University of Michigan-1.14-5.54vs Predicted
-
17Unknown School-2.34-2.73vs Predicted
-
18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.41University of Notre Dame1.2320.1%1st Place
-
2.73University of Wisconsin1.6731.6%1st Place
-
7.57Ohio State University0.094.2%1st Place
-
5.61University of Illinois0.448.6%1st Place
-
5.02University of Chicago0.5510.4%1st Place
-
7.21Michigan Technological University-0.175.5%1st Place
-
8.72Hope College-0.653.4%1st Place
-
12.46Ohio State University-1.700.9%1st Place
-
8.97Hope College-0.572.8%1st Place
-
12.33Western Michigan University-1.731.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Michigan-1.711.1%1st Place
-
8.76Purdue University-0.572.2%1st Place
-
9.59Grand Valley State University-0.912.7%1st Place
-
13.73Northern Michigan University-2.180.9%1st Place
-
12.36Michigan State University-1.681.3%1st Place
-
10.46University of Michigan-1.142.2%1st Place
-
14.27Unknown School-2.340.7%1st Place
-
15.35Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Payden Pittman | 20.1% | 21.1% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 31.6% | 22.4% | 17.6% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Andrew Beute | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Gavin Holmes | 2.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Reed Rossell | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Leo Barch | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 15.7% |
| George Prokop | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.0% |
| River Servia | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 20.8% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 36.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.