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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.93+4.04vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+5.79vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.82+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.80+5.14vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+2.07vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.79+3.03vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.97-1.83vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.10-0.24vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.520.00vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.62-1.42vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College1.08-0.76vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.59-3.36vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-3.66vs Predicted
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15Brown University2.30-7.67vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.95-0.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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7.79Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.53Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.14University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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9.03Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.17Bowdoin College2.970.2%1st Place
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7.76Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.58Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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11.24Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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9.64University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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7.33Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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15.75Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Brego | 14.0% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Hicks | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 15.1% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Stephen Duncan | 11.4% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 1.1% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 0.2% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.2% | 24.3% | 2.3% |
| Delaney Brown | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 0.8% |
| Darden Purrington | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Deneault | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 93.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.