← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.82+4.41vs Predicted
-
2Boston University2.10+5.81vs Predicted
-
3University of Vermont1.80+5.94vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.10+4.14vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College2.97+0.06vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-0.32vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.93-1.75vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.36-1.10vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University1.62+0.52vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.59-0.23vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.30-3.80vs Predicted
-
12Middlebury College1.08-0.74vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.52-3.11vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.79-5.12vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-4.48vs Predicted
-
16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.95-0.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.41Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
-
7.81Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
-
8.94University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
-
8.14Roger Williams University2.100.0%1st Place
-
5.06Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
-
5.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
-
5.25Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.9University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
-
9.52Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
-
9.77University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
7.2Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
-
11.26Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
-
9.89Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
-
8.88Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
-
10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
-
15.76Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Colin Brego | 14.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 0.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 0.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 2.6% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 1.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 0.7% |
| Alex Deneault | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 93.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.