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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.82+4.46vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.10+5.93vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+4.11vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37+6.68vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.10+3.06vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.80+3.17vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.62+2.76vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.93-2.88vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.52+0.96vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.79-0.82vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.59-1.23vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.30-4.63vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.97-7.93vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-8.46vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.08-3.41vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.46Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.93Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.11University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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8.06Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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9.17University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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5.12Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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9.96Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.18Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.77University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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7.37Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.07Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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11.59Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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14.22Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan DiMarchi | 11.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Sabourin | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Darden Purrington | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 7.9% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Colin Brego | 13.9% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.6% |
| Delaney Brown | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 3.3% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Christian Filter | 13.0% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Duncan | 11.8% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Arquit | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 19.7% | 12.0% |
| Liam Shanahan | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 57.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.