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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1McGill University1.60+2.77vs Predicted
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2Amherst College0.96+3.00vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College1.84+0.40vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.37+1.93vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.75-2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Connecticut0.66-0.56vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut0.66-1.56vs Predicted
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8Queen's University0.38-2.06vs Predicted
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9Brandeis University1.25-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.77McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
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5.0Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
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3.4Middlebury College1.840.2%1st Place
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5.93McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
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2.15Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
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5.44University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.44University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
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5.94Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
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4.37Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Macdonald | 11.8% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 6.2% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.8% | 18.8% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Bianca Dragone | 17.9% | 18.1% | 20.5% | 15.9% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 21.5% | 29.3% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 41.7% | 26.9% | 16.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 14.2% | 18.5% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.