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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.67+1.74vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.23+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of Illinois0.44+2.84vs Predicted
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4Grand Valley State University-0.76+5.51vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.55+0.19vs Predicted
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6Ohio State University0.09+1.99vs Predicted
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7Michigan Technological University-0.17+0.57vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.02-1.05vs Predicted
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9Hope College-0.57+0.42vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.65-0.93vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-1.70+1.71vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71+0.73vs Predicted
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13Northern Michigan University-2.18+1.24vs Predicted
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14Purdue University-1.07-3.55vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan-1.14-4.45vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.73-3.41vs Predicted
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17Unknown School-2.34-2.51vs Predicted
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18Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74University of Wisconsin1.6731.4%1st Place
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3.66University of Notre Dame1.2319.6%1st Place
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5.84University of Illinois0.448.0%1st Place
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9.51Grand Valley State University-0.762.8%1st Place
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5.19University of Chicago0.5511.4%1st Place
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7.99Ohio State University0.093.5%1st Place
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7.57Michigan Technological University-0.174.2%1st Place
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6.95Michigan State University0.025.1%1st Place
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9.42Hope College-0.572.1%1st Place
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9.07Hope College-0.653.1%1st Place
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12.71Ohio State University-1.701.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Michigan-1.710.9%1st Place
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14.24Northern Michigan University-2.180.4%1st Place
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10.45Purdue University-1.072.1%1st Place
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10.55University of Michigan-1.142.1%1st Place
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12.59Western Michigan University-1.731.1%1st Place
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14.49Unknown School-2.340.7%1st Place
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15.27Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Styslinger | 31.4% | 24.1% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 19.6% | 18.1% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 8.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| James Leavitt | 11.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Williams | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Beck | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.0% |
| Leo Barch | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 18.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| River Servia | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 19.4% | 22.1% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 19.1% | 35.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.