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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.10+6.85vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.82+3.54vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.62+6.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+3.45vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.93+0.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.97-0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+0.21vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.08+3.45vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.80+0.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-4.33vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.10-2.99vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.37-1.47vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.52-3.03vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.59-4.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.79-5.75vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.01-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Boston University2.100.1%1st Place
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5.54Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University1.620.0%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.22Boston College2.930.1%1st Place
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5.19Bowdoin College2.970.1%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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11.45Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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9.02University of Vermont1.800.0%1st Place
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5.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.100.1%1st Place
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10.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.370.0%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.66University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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9.25Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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14.25Worcester Polytechnic Institute0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Sabourin | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 13.2% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sofia Marie Mascia | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Colin Brego | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christian Filter | 13.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ben Arquit | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 19.3% | 11.7% |
| Charles Hicks | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| Stephen Duncan | 11.5% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Estes | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% |
| Darden Purrington | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 8.3% |
| Charlotte Lenz | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% |
| Delaney Brown | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 4.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% |
| Liam Shanahan | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 14.7% | 55.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.