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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+6.48vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.37+4.93vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+2.38vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.75+1.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.61+4.49vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.12vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.59-0.59vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.83+3.63vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.31-1.79vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.78-0.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.94-2.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-0.66vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.38-9.07vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.80-8.47vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.52-2.32vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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6.93Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.38Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.94Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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6.41Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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11.63Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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11.34Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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3.93Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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12.68University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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15.44Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Chung | 4.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Josh Dochoda | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 0.6% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 18.9% | 20.9% | 3.9% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 18.0% | 3.9% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.1% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Zoe Knowles | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 32.1% | 9.0% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 81.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.