← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.38+2.89vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont2.80+3.64vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+4.57vs Predicted
-
4Boston University2.91+1.45vs Predicted
-
5Boston College2.59+1.30vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College2.75-0.11vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University2.37+0.01vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College0.83+3.71vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University2.31-1.81vs Predicted
-
10Brown University1.94-1.50vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-1.99vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University0.99-0.65vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.78-4.05vs Predicted
-
14University of South Florida0.52-1.50vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University1.61-5.43vs Predicted
-
16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.89Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
-
5.64University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
-
7.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
-
5.45Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
-
6.3Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
-
5.89Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.01Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
-
11.71Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
-
7.19Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
-
8.5Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
-
9.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
-
11.35Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
-
8.95University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
-
12.5University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
-
9.57Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
-
15.46Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Klingler | 21.5% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 11.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 19.6% | 21.6% | 4.1% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 19.0% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Zoe Knowles | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 29.5% | 7.7% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 0.5% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 8.3% | 81.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.