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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.59+5.17vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+3.81vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.37+3.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20+3.67vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+0.68vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76+3.09vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-2.86vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.91-2.80vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.94-0.61vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.99+1.46vs Predicted
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11Harvard University1.61-1.54vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida0.52-0.44vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College0.83-2.33vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island1.78-5.95vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.17Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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5.81Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.0%1st Place
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5.68University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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4.14Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.2Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.39Brown University1.940.0%1st Place
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11.46Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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9.46Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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7.26Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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12.56University of South Florida0.520.0%1st Place
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11.67Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
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9.05University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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15.44Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Walden | 7.6% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 4.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.0% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 13.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 19.5% | 15.9% | 4.3% |
| Catherine Kerner | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 5.7% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Zoe Knowles | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 31.1% | 7.9% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 9.8% | 80.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.