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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.37+5.86vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+3.73vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.91+2.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.59+2.42vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.31+2.23vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-0.30vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-2.91vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-0.58vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.61+0.37vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-0.93vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.83+0.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-0.74vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.94-4.69vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.78-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.08-1.54vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.86Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.73Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.28Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.42Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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7.23Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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4.09Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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7.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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9.37Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.62Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
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11.26Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.31Brown University1.940.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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13.46University of South Florida0.080.0%1st Place
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15.37Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Neal | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 13.0% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.1% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 0.5% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 13.8% | 20.3% | 18.3% | 3.8% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 2.8% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Virginia Ware | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 17.0% | 38.7% | 15.5% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 5.0% | 11.7% | 76.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.