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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.75+4.64vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.91+3.27vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+3.27vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+5.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.80+0.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-1.91vs Predicted
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7Harvard University1.61+2.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.37-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.08+4.32vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.31-2.76vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.03vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.99-0.76vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.83-1.38vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-6.60vs Predicted
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15Brown University1.94-6.50vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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5.27Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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9.02University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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4.09Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.49Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.84Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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13.32University of South Florida0.080.0%1st Place
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7.24Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.24Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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11.62Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University1.940.1%1st Place
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15.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Safford | 10.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 12.7% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Harden | 9.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.9% | 16.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Neal | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Virginia Ware | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 15.1% | 38.2% | 15.6% |
| Kyle Riggs | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 0.3% |
| Elena Gonick | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 14.2% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 3.4% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 20.6% | 17.3% | 3.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.6% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 13.2% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.