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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.91+4.15vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.75+3.77vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.59+3.27vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.94+4.56vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.38-0.94vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.80-0.29vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.31+0.21vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.78+0.75vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.37-2.10vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.20-2.37vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.76-2.07vs Predicted
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12Middlebury College0.83-0.36vs Predicted
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13Harvard University1.61-3.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.99-2.83vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida0.08-1.49vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.35-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.15Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.77Bowdoin College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College2.590.1%1st Place
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8.56Brown University1.940.0%1st Place
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4.06Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Vermont2.800.1%1st Place
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7.21Northeastern University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.75University of Rhode Island1.780.0%1st Place
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6.9Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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7.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.200.1%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.760.0%1st Place
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11.64Middlebury College0.830.0%1st Place
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9.36Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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11.17Tufts University0.990.0%1st Place
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13.51University of South Florida0.080.0%1st Place
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15.39Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Dochoda | 12.9% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Safford | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Walden | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Hannon | 4.3% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 2.7% | 0.2% |
| Christine Klingler | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Harden | 10.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 11.6% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Peter Neal | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chung | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Caelan Juckniess | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Scatchard | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 18.9% | 18.9% | 3.8% |
| Catherine Kerner | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Elena Gonick | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 13.6% | 2.6% |
| Virginia Ware | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 16.4% | 39.0% | 15.8% |
| Adam Camilli | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 12.7% | 76.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.