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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+5.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+2.71vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.36vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.00vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+4.29vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.44vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.36+2.03vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.98vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.47-0.30vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-1.26vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.98vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-4.09vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-5.95vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.41-5.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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4.71University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.36Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.44Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.03Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.91Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.79Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 16.1% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 16.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% |
| Mary Paz | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 15.4% |
| Emma White | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 3.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.