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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University0.09+7.10vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin1.67+0.76vs Predicted
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3University of Notre Dame1.23+0.56vs Predicted
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4University of Illinois0.44+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago0.55+0.27vs Predicted
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6Michigan Technological University-0.17+1.59vs Predicted
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7Hope College-0.57+2.25vs Predicted
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8Grand Valley State University-0.76+1.66vs Predicted
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9Michigan State University0.02-2.03vs Predicted
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10Hope College-0.65-1.04vs Predicted
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11Purdue University-1.07-0.47vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan-1.71+0.67vs Predicted
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13Ohio State University-1.70-0.30vs Predicted
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14Northern Michigan University-2.18+0.13vs Predicted
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15Unknown School-2.34-0.40vs Predicted
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16Western Michigan University-1.73-3.37vs Predicted
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17Saginaw Valley State University-2.68-1.85vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan-1.14-7.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.1Ohio State University0.093.4%1st Place
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2.76University of Wisconsin1.6731.1%1st Place
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3.56University of Notre Dame1.2319.6%1st Place
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5.92University of Illinois0.447.8%1st Place
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5.27University of Chicago0.5510.0%1st Place
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7.59Michigan Technological University-0.174.8%1st Place
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9.25Hope College-0.573.5%1st Place
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9.66Grand Valley State University-0.762.3%1st Place
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6.97Michigan State University0.025.9%1st Place
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8.96Hope College-0.653.4%1st Place
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10.53Purdue University-1.071.8%1st Place
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12.67University of Michigan-1.710.9%1st Place
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12.7Ohio State University-1.701.1%1st Place
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14.13Northern Michigan University-2.180.6%1st Place
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14.6Unknown School-2.340.4%1st Place
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12.63Western Michigan University-1.730.9%1st Place
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15.15Saginaw Valley State University-2.680.4%1st Place
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10.56University of Michigan-1.142.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Williams | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Styslinger | 31.1% | 24.4% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Payden Pittman | 19.6% | 19.2% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Domenico Sacchetti | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Leavitt | 10.0% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Dietsch | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Garrett Szlachta | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ella Beck | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Redman | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Beute | 0.9% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 6.8% |
| Benjamin Conrad | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 6.2% |
| Leo Barch | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 18.2% |
| Alex Schlotterer | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 24.2% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.3% |
| Luiza Wernz Muller | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 34.8% |
| River Servia | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.