← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Middlebury College1.84+2.35vs Predicted
-
2McGill University1.60+1.85vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University2.75-0.89vs Predicted
-
4Brandeis University1.25+0.47vs Predicted
-
5Amherst College0.96-0.02vs Predicted
-
7McGill University0.37-1.07vs Predicted
-
8University of Connecticut0.66-2.51vs Predicted
-
9University of Connecticut0.66-3.51vs Predicted
-
10Queen's University0.38-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.35Middlebury College1.840.2%1st Place
-
3.85McGill University1.600.1%1st Place
-
2.11Tufts University2.750.4%1st Place
-
4.47Brandeis University1.250.1%1st Place
-
4.98Amherst College0.960.1%1st Place
-
5.93McGill University0.370.0%1st Place
-
5.49University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.49University of Connecticut0.660.1%1st Place
-
5.83Queen's University0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bianca Dragone | 16.3% | 22.3% | 20.1% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Leif Macdonald | 12.6% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| James Altreuter | 42.7% | 26.7% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jared Dunn | 9.6% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 11.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Stephanie Dowling | 6.0% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Emily Tsang | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 18.7% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| James Fales | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 16.6% | 19.5% | 20.6% | 0.0% |
| Joy MacDonald | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 21.4% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.