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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+3.58vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+4.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+5.15vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.47+5.16vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+2.95vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.79+4.35vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.30vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-3.80vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.44-1.55vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.36-2.12vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.34vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.91-6.40vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-8.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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6.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.15Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.95University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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11.35Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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5.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.2Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.45Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
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9.88Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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9.66Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.62Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 16.9% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 9.0% |
| Emma White | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% |
| Allison Cahn | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 29.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.7% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Mary Paz | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Camille Matile | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.