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📊 Prediction Accuracy
13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.99+6.29vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+5.48vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+5.81vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+3.17vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84-0.32vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.47+3.27vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.36+2.52vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.19vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.79+1.48vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-2.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.41vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.41-3.27vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-7.39vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.44-5.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.29Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.48Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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8.81University of Vermont2.580.0%1st Place
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7.17Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.68University of Rhode Island3.840.2%1st Place
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9.27Connecticut College2.470.0%1st Place
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9.52Roger Williams University2.360.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.48Boston University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.73Northeastern University2.410.0%1st Place
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6.61Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.31Bowdoin College2.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma White | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 17.8% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Kelsey Shakin | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Allyson Donahue | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Allison Cahn | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.7% | 29.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.4% |
| Camille Matile | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Mary Paz | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.